Lucky 15 Horse Racing Tips, Saturday 9 November 2019
Here are our latest Lucky 15 picks for the next big day of racing action. Choose to back to win or each way and cross your fingers for a big payout! (Odds quoted are from Coral and are subject to change.)
Potential returns from a £1.00 each way Lucky 15 bet are £9,503
- Qamka at 14/1 (1:30 Doncaster)
- Bielsa at 5/2 (2:05, Doncaster)
- Oldgrangewood at 9/1 (2:40, Aintree)
- Not So Sleepy at 10/1 (3:15, Doncaster)
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Lucky 15 Tips for Saturday
There’s something for everyone on the racing front this coming weekend, with top notch action on offer both on the level and over jumps. It is to the November Handicap card at Doncaster to which we turn our attention for the bulk of this week’s each way Lucky 15, with our top pick over the sticks at Aintree rounding out the bet.
Lucky 15 Tip 1: Qamka in the 1:30 at Doncaster
Roger Varian has had just the five entries in this Listed event for the fillies over the past 10 years, with those five runners boasting form figures of 42142. That’s certainly encouraging reading from an each way perspective, and makes Varian’s sole entry this year, Qamka, well worth a second look.
Two from three in her career to date, this daughter of Mastercraftsman possesses a pretty pronounced rounded action, suggesting she ought to handle soft ground better than most, and that certainly looked to be the case when she landed a decent event on soft back in June. As such, the current testing conditions on Town Moor ought to prove less of a hindrance to her than some others in the field.
Fit and well having defied a penalty on her comeback run at Newcastle 15 days ago, and with the likelihood of more to come stepping up to this trip for the first time, she will do for us at a nice each way price.
Lucky 15 Tip 2: Bielsa in the 2.05 at Doncaster
We stick with the Listed action on the flat for our second selection, in what looks to be a pretty hot event for the grade at Doncaster.
Major Jumbo is one who ought to go well for Kevin Ryan having already scored at this level in August. He does get a 3lb penalty for that though, which may just make life tough against a number of dangerous looking rivals.
Sticking with the Ryan yard, the one to be on looks to be the four year old, Bielsa. Already a winner over the course and distance – having powered right away to land a handicap off a mark of 93 last time out – we were really impressed with the manner in which he picked up in the heavy ground that day. With conditions once again in his favour, he is fancied to take this step-up in grade in his stride.
Lucky 15 Tip 3: Oldgrangewood in the 2:40 at Aintree
The pick of the jumping action at Aintree looks to come in this cracking handicap chase contest, with a decent case to be made for a good few of these.
War Sound won this in grand style for Philip Hobbs last year and returns to defend his crown, whilst Duke Street appears to have been revitalised by a wind-op and arrives seeking a four-timer for Dr Richard Newland. We can see both going well.
It is however another runner to have his wind tinkered with of late who will be carrying our cash here. Namely the Dan Skelton representative, Oldgrangewood. Boasting form figures of 03433 at this track, he is 9lbs lower than when third in a Grade 2 handicap here in 2017, and on the same mark as when again filling third spot in a Grade 3 in April. He may not even need any improvement from that wind operation in order to make the frame, but should any be forthcoming, he might just prove tough to beat.
Lucky 15 Tip 4: Not So Sleepy in the 3:15 at Doncaster
The draw has been one of the key factors in the November Handicap in recent years, with eight of the past 10 winners – and the majority of placed horses – having emerged from a double figure stall. That helps narrow down the sizeable field, as does the fact that eight of the past 10 victors have been saddled with less than 9st8lb.
Passion And Glory would look the most obvious of the runners to match our criteria, but he appeared to be tiring over 1m2f on heavy ground here last time out, and as such the step up in trip doesn’t look sure to suit.
At a slightly bigger price, the one we like is 2018 runner up, Not So Sleepy. Appearing in decent heart at present having finished a good fourth in the Cesarewitch last time out, he gets in here off a 2lb lower mark than when beaten just 1½l in this last year. With the heavy ground set to bring his proven stamina into play, he can go close for Hughie Morrison.
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