Lucky 15 Horse Racing Tips, Saturday 18th January 2020
Here are our latest Lucky 15 picks for the next big day of racing action. Choose to back to win or each way and cross your fingers for a big payout! (Odds quoted are from BetVictor and are subject to change.)
Potential returns from a £1.00 Lucky 15 bet are £1,349
- Edwardstone at 7/4 (2:05, Haydock)
- Bold Plan at 11/2 (2:25 Ascot)
- Midnight Tune at 6/1 (2:40, Haydock)
- Espoir De Guye at 4/1 (3:00, Ascot)
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Lucky 15 Tips for Saturday
Fans of the National Hunt game have another Saturday to look forward to this week as the road to the Cheltenham Festival continues. Our best bets from Ascot and Haydock, including in the key Supreme Novice Hurdle and Queen Mother Champion Chase Trials, make up this week’s each way Lucky 15.
Lucky 15 Tip 1: Edwardstone in the 2:05 at Haydock
We kick off this week’s bet in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Trial at Haydock. 2012 winner Cinders And Ashes was the last to follow up at the Cheltenham Festival, but it does generally take a pretty smart sort to come out on top in this, with the likes of Peddlers Cross, Aso and the ill-fated Neon Wolf all featuring on the recent roll of honour.
Overall this has been a good race for the favourite, with five of the past eight market leaders having come home in front, and we fancy that trend may well continue this year. It is the Alan King trained Edwardstone who is the one for us here. Consistent but frustrating last season in finishing second in all three bumper starts, he has looked a natural in landing his two starts over hurdles in the current campaign. The first of those wins in particular looks to be strong form, with the runner up that day Fiddlerontheroof having since gone on to land the Grade 1 Tolworth Hurdle by an easy six lengths. In receipt of weight from the likes of Thebannerkingrebel and Fred, he looks the one to be on.
Lucky 15 Tip 2: Bold Plan in the 2:25 at Ascot
Nicky Henderson’s William Henry heads the weights for this big field handicap affair, and looks solid to go well from a 5lb higher mark than when successful in last season’s Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival. 11st12lb is a lot of weight to lump around in the soft ground for the ten year old though, and he may just prove vulnerable, particularly as each of the last eight renewals of this have been landed by a runner aged six or younger.
It is indeed the youngsters who dominate the head of the marker, and with ground concerns for Tea Clipper and a stamina question mark against Pic D’Orhy, the one we like best here is the Evan Williams trained Bold Plan. With form figures of 1210 on soft or worse going, he shouldn’t have any issue with the conditions, particularly as that “0” is easily forgiven having come first time out when looking in need of the run. In good form now having scored in really good style at Haydock last time out, he is up 10lb in the handicap, but that may not stop, with his hold up style offering hope that he still has a bit up his sleeve. He did pretty well to win at all in that Haydock event having been impeded just as the race began in earnest, and looks a solid option to at least run into a place.
Lucky 15 Tip 3: Midnight Tune in the 2.40 at Haydock
Harry Fry’s Acting Lass heads the betting for the big staying handicap on the Haydock card and looks solid to go well, particularly with his trainer being in decent form at present. He is nevertheless up 3lbs in the weights for finishing second in a 3m contest at this track last time out, and wouldn’t be certain to be suited by this step up in trip.
Top weight Definitly Red is a course winner, and the undoubted class of the field, but is eleven years old now and may prove vulnerable shouldered with 11st10lb. Take a chance instead on the Anthony Honeyball mare, Midnight Tune. Touted as a Grand National type, she was in good enough heart to score over 2m1½f at Exeter last time out. She’s up 5lb to 136 for that, but that doesn’t look an impossible mark now stepped up to a more suitable trip. A perfect two from two in heavy ground chases, she looks decent value in this field.
Lucky 15 Tip 4: Espoir De Guye in the 3:00 at Ascot
We head back to Ascot for our final selection in what looks to be a pretty hot renewal of this staying handicap. A case can be made for a number of these, including the dropping in class course and distance winner, Kildisart, and this seasons BetVictor Gold Cup champ Happy Diva, whilst Allysson Monterg may be the pick of the outsiders if fit and well on his first run in a year.
The two we are leaning towards here though are the hattrick seeking duo of Espoir De Guye and Domaine De L’Isle. For us it is the form of the Venetia Williams runner Espoir de Guye which looks marginally the stronger. Still only six years old, this one absolutely hosed up at this track last time out, and whilst he is up fully 14lbs and 2f in trip, he looked better the further he went that day. Eased down at the line, with Charlie Deutsch not once reaching for the whip, he may prove pretty tough to beat if in anything like the same form, with the additional distance expected to bring out more.
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