Welsh Grand National Preview: Tips, Betting Offers and Odds – 2:50 at Chepstow, 27th December 2018
Read on for the best odds, offers and betting tips on offer for the 2018 Welsh Grand National, the big race at Chepstow – a fine feast of excitement as you’re still devouring the leftover turkey!
The class in this race doesn’t compete with the King George on Boxing Day but even so, this is a thrilling race.
Welsh Grand National Betting Tips
Odds correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.
- Ramses De Teillee to win at 7/1 with bet365
- Looksnowtlikebrian each way at 14/1 with BetVictor
Welsh Grand National Betting Offers
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Welsh Grand National 2018 Tips and Preview
The Welsh Grand National is one of many highlights in the horse racing schedule around Christmas. Since being moved to its new slot of the day after Boxing Day, this incredibly demanding handicap steeplechase has only increased in terms of prestige.
The Grade 3, 3 mile 5½ furlong contest is now a very valuable race in its own right and also a helpful guide to other big races including, of course, the Grand National at Aintree. A full size field of 20 will tackle the 22 fences but which horse will outstay the others to land this big prize?
Proven Stamina the Most Important Consideration
The weather forecast suggests that conditions will be foggy at Chepstow on Thursday. The organisers are hopeful that won’t cause problems hosting the race but connections of those with entries to the Welsh Grand National will be more concerned with the heavy rain forecast to fall over the weekend.
This race is a challenging enough test of stamina on any ground but as it softens up proven stamina becomes all the more important when looking for a winning bet. Other things to consider include age, as only one horse older than nine has won the Welsh Grand National in the last 15 renewals whilst horses carrying more than 11st must be of the highest quality.
Will There Be Another Punt on Ramses De Teillee?
There are a number of races for connections of Welsh Grand National challengers to consider in the build up to the big race. David Pipe believed that taking the most obvious approach was best when it comes to Ramses De Teillee. Pipe entered his six-year-old in the official trial at Chepstow earlier on in the month and was delighted to see him pass the test with flying colours by beating nine rivals.
That win at Chepstow came at just under 3 miles but the ground was heavy on the day so it was a real test of stamina. It was also his third win at Chepstow and came after he was heavily backed. Despite that win he still carries just under 11st and is still available at 7/1 with bet365. That price could be a lot shorter come the off so it’s worth getting on early if possible.
Looksnowtlikebrian Looks Too Big to Ignore
The Welsh Grand National is a perfect race for each way betting and in Looksnowtlikebrian we have a very tempting bet at 14/1 with BetVictor. The seven-year-old has already had a profitable season for his trainer, Tim Vaughan, with back to back wins at Carlisle. Each of those performances were at longer than 3 miles which shows he has the required stamina whilst his jumping was particularly eye catching in his most recent performance.
Looksnowtlikebrian is a progressive chaser who could go on to win some very big races indeed and he has a real chance of getting the job done at Chepstow at nice odds.
- 2017 – (run in Jan 2018 due to postponement) Raz De Maree – jockey James Bowen, trainer Gavin Cromwell
- 2016 – Native River – jockey Richard Johnson, trainer Colin Tizzard
- 2015 (run in Jan 2016 due to postponement) – Mountainous – jockey Jamie Moore, trainer Kerry Lee
- 2014 – Emperor’s Choice – jockey Aiden Coleman, trainer Venetia Williams
- 2013 – Mountainous – jockey Paul Moloney, trainer Richard Lee
- 2012 – Monbeg Dude – jockey Paul Carberry, trainer Michael Scudamore
- 2011 – Le Beau Bai – jockey Charlie Poste, trainer Richard Lee
- 2010 – Synchronised – jockey Tony McCoy, trainer Jonjo O’Neill
- 2009 – Dream Alliance – jockey Tom O’Brien, trainer Philip Hobbs
- 2008 – Notre Pere – jockey Andrew Lynch, trainer Jim Dreaper
- 2007 – Miko de Beauchene – jockey Andrew Thornton, trainer Robert Alner
- 2006 – Halcon Genelardais – jockey Wayne Hutchinson, trainer Alan King
- 2005 – L’Aventure – jockey Leighton Aspell, trainer Paul Nicholls
The Welsh Grand National is a Grade 3 National Hunt chase for horse aged four years and above. It is run at Chepstow race course each year and has been since 1949 when the course was switched from Caerleon. Prior to Caerleon, the race had been held at Ely Racecourse in Cardiff since its inauguration in 1895. The race was suspended during the years of 1939 and 1948 due to the War. In total there are 22 fences for the competitors to overcome across its three miles and five and a half furlong distance.
The date of the race has been progressively moved earlier on in the racing calendar in an attempt to attract better horses, despite the threat of increasingly worse weather. It was moved back from Easter Tuesday, to February in 1969 and then to its current date in 1979.
The class of runners did subsequently improve, making it an informative contest for how future events, such as the Grand National and the Cheltenham Gold Cup, were to play out. The most recent example of horses winning this one and then continuing on to win one of these two others are Bindaree, Silver Birch and Synchronised. Bindaree, winner here in 2003, and Silver Birch, winner in this one in the following year, went on to win the Aintree Grand National also. Synchronised, victorious here in 2010, went on to win the Cheltenham Gold Cup in 2012.
Over the past decade there have been few horses, jockeys or trainers alike to seriously stamp their authority on this race, largely due to the open nature of the Welsh National. The only reoccurring name on the previous winners list in the past 10 years is trainer Richard Lee. Lee managed victory in 2011 and 2013, but even then this was with different horses and different jockeys.
This trend perhaps shows the difficulty of this particular race and the unpredictability of it, which of course makes the Welsh National almost as tough a betting proposition as its English equivalent. That said, we did see the dominance of two trainers in the 1980s and early 1990s. Jenny Pitman and Martin Pipe trained eight of the 12 winning horses between the years 1982 and 1993.
Over this period however, the trend of lots of different winning horses continued. The only horse to actually earn repeat victories in this timewas Martin Pipe’s Bonanza Boy in 1988 and 1989. These two victories made this Pipe trained horse the first ever horse to win this race in consecutive years and he remains the only one to have done so still to this day.
Jockey Peter Scudamore enjoyed much success in the late 1980s amassing a total of three wins in five years, two in the saddle of Bonanza Boy, making him one of the most successful jockeys in the history of the Welsh National.
The arrival of the Welsh National means that the year is almost at a close. That means that the Cheltenham Festival is just months away. Now then, THAT means you really should check out our Cheltenham Festival offers post!