Lennox Stakes Preview: Tips, Betting Offers and Odds, 3.00 at Goodwood, 31st July 2018
This Group 2 contest was first run at Goodwood in the year 2000 over a trip of 7f and is open to all runners aged three and older. One of the top events of the year over this specialist distance, the contest now offers £300,000 in total prize money.
Qatar Lennox Stakes Betting Tips
Odds correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.
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Lennox Stakes 2018 Betting Tips and Race Preview
Breton Rock’s win in the 2017 Lennox Stakes was one of the biggest shocks of last year at Glorious Goodwood. David Simcock’s gelding went off at 50/1 but was most comfortable on the softer ground, producing a stunning finish to claim the win. His win was all the more surprising given that five of the previous six winners of this seven furlong contest were either the favourite or joint favourite. The rain has come again to soften the ground at Goodwood but will that be enough for Breton Rock to land this Group 2 again?
Expect Normal Service to be Resumed and the Favourite to Win
Despite showing little form since winning the Lennox Stakes last year, the bookies have made sure not to make the same mistake twice with Breton Rock and have priced him at a general 12/1. He is a specialist over seven furlongs but that’s a little short, besides, the most likely winner of the 2018 renewal is the current favourite in the betting, Tip Two Win.
Like those of Breton Rock, connections of Tip Two Win know all about 50/1 surprises. That’s the price their colt was available at in the 2000 Guineas where he managed to finish second. He was then narrowly denied another place in Group 1 company next time out in the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot.
That Roger Teal has decided to choose the Lennox Stakes over the Group 1 Sussex Stakes which is run over a mile for Tip Two Win is interesting. This is clearly the easier option and should ensure that the four-year-old gets back to winning ways before potentially going abroad in the search for Group 1 success so make sure to back Tip Two Win at 5/1 with Betfair.
Balding Horse Capable of Claiming a Place on Softer Ground
There is little doubt that the main threat to Tip Two Win’s chances of winning is posed by Sir Dancelot. His results have improved significantly after a disappointing three-year-old season but has largely racing over six furlongs in 2018. That raises some questions about his ability to kick on in the latter stages especially if the ground continues to soften in the lead up to Tuesday’s race.
Sir Dancelot has his chances but Donjuan Triumphant represents a much more tempting each way betting option at 33/1 with BetVictor. He secured some good results for Andrew Balding and his new owners, King Power Racing, last year but hasn’t been seen since April (when finishing second in Leicester) as he is not a horse who thrives on firm ground.
Donjuan Triumphant is a very capable horse even at Group level when he gets his ground though and the rain in the forecast could see his price come in the closer we get to the off. Balding will need to ensure that his five-year-old is in tip top shape so that he doesn’t fade in the latter stages but if everything goes to plan, Donjuan Triumphant can reward his backers at a very generous price.
- 2017 – Breton Rock – jockey Andrea Atzeni, trainer David Simcock
- 2016 – Dutch Connection – jockey James McDonald trainer Charlie Hills
- 2015 – Toormore – jockey James Doyle, trainer Richard Hannon, Jr.
- 2014 – Es Que Love – jockey Adam Kirby, trainer Clive Cox
- 2013 – Garswood – jockey Ryan Moore, trainer Richard Fahey
- 2012 – Chachamaidee – jockey Tom Queally, trainer Sir Henry Cecil
- 2011 – Strong Suit – jockey Richard Hughes, trainer Richard Hannon, Sr.
- 2010 – Lord Shanakill – jockey Tom Queally, trainer Sir Henry Cecil
- 2009 – Finjaan – jockey Tadhg O’Shea, trainer Marcus Tregoning
- 2008 – Paco Boy – jockey Richard Hughes, trainer Richard Hannon, Sr.
- 2007 – Tariq – jockey Kerrin McEvoy, trainer Peter Chapple-Hyam
- 2006 – Iffraaj – jockey Frankie Dettori, trainer Saeed bin Suroor
Lennox Stakes History
The “Lennox” of this races title refers to Charles Gordon-Lennox, Duke of Richmond who is the owner of Goodwood Racecourse. Initially introduced as a Group 3 event, the contest was elevated to Group 2 level in 2003. Then in 2015 the race received a major boost in terms of its international appeal, with new sponsor’s Qatar doubling the prize money to £300,000.
The racing calendar features many Group contests run over both 6f and a mile, but relatively few at this intermediary trip. It is therefore likely to remain popular with connections of those “in between” horses, too slow for 6f but lacking the stamina for a mile.
Top Jockeys and Trainers
Despite only being inaugurated in the year 2000, a number of trainers and jockeys have already shown a particular liking for this race. Amongst the trainers, Marcus Tregoning, Gerard Butler, Saeed bin Suroor, Richard Hannon, Sr. and the late Sir Henry Cecil have all recorded two wins here. From those doing the steering, Eddie Ahern, Kerrin McEvoy, Richard Hughes and Tom Queally are the jockeys to have already taken this twice.
Open to all runners aged three and older it was pretty much honours even between the Classic generation and the older performers in the first 16 editions of the race, with 7 wins for the three year olds, four for the four year olds and five for the five year olds.
Looking at the equine talent to have prevailed here, the inaugural winner, Observatory set a useful benchmark to aim at, with the John Gosden runner subsequently going on to land the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot.
Richard Hannon, Sr.’s Paco Boy was the most talented performer amongst the early winners here. Having taken this prize in 2008, this son of Desert Style went on to record wins in the Queen Anne Stakes, Lockinge Stakes and Sandown Mile twice. Now retired to stud, Paco Boy has already produced a Classic winning colt in 2016 2000 Guineas winner, Galileo Gold.
Other notable winners include Nayyir, who as of 2016 was the only horse to win this race twice, having scored in 2002 and 2003. 2005 winner, Court Masterpiece, meanwhile confirmed his liking for this track in 2006 when landing Glorious Goodwood’s biggest race, the Sussex Stakes.