2000 Guineas Preview: Tips, Betting Offers and Odds, 3.35 at Newmarket, Saturday 4th May 2019
With the Cheltenham Festival a distant memory, late April or (as in 2017) early May sees the first Classic of the British season take place at Newmarket. Read on for the best odds, free bets and offers surrounding the 2000 Guineas, as well as our betting tips for the race.
A mile is the trip for this three year old contest which whilst open to fillies is predominantly only contested by colts. In addition to the prestige and enhanced breeding value which accompanies the winning of a Classic, there is also a total of £500,000 in prize money on offer. The 2000 Guineas is one of the biggest races around and we’ve got all you need to know to cash in right here.
There is some huge racing action over in the US this weekend too! Check out our Kentucky Derby betting tips for the lowdown!
2000 Guineas Betting Tips
Odds correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.
- Magna Grecia to win at 5/1 with Coral
- Advertise each way at 8/1 with Paddy Power
2000 Guineas Betting Offers
- PADDY POWER £20 FREE BET – New customers only, limited to one per person. If you’ve previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply. Paddy’s Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply.
- CORAL BET £5, GET £20 IN FREE BETS – 18+. UK+IRE only. Min first bet £5 at odds 1/2 or more. Tote and Pool excluded. Must be placed within 14 days of account reg. £20 credited as 4 x £5 free bets. Not valid with Cash Out. Free bet valid for 4 days. Free bet stake not returned. T&Cs apply.
- Other offers coming soon… check out our horse racing free bets!
2000 Guineas Tips and Betting Offers, 3:35 at Newmarket, 4 May 2019
The flat racing season really gets underway on Saturday with the first Classic of the season, the 2000 Guineas. This historic race takes place over 1 mile at Newmarket and always attracts many of the very best three-year-olds colts in training to the Suffolk track. With the firm favourite for the race, Too Darn Hot, missing out, the betting has opened up considerably so this should be a thrilling renewal of the 2000 Guineas.
Milers with Newmarket Experience Have the Edge
The 2000 Guineas has been run since 1809 and has been run over 1 mile for its entire history. The nature of the contest has changed in more recent times though. It used to be that the best three-year-olds would compete in this before going on to run in the Derby and – less often – in the St Leger. It’s rather different now with the 2000 Guineas increasingly becoming a race for specialist milers.
It takes a balance of speed and stamina to win a mile long race of this calibre and the stats show that those who have already proven they can win at the Group level over at least 7 furlongs have a distinct advantage in the 2000 Guineas. Likewise, horses who have already had a competitive run at Newmarket should be favoured over those with no course experience. For that reason, the Dewhurst Stakes has proven to be a helpful guide in recent times amongst other trials including the Autumn Stakes, Craven Stakes and Vertem Futurity Trophy.
Out and Out Pace Not Enough
Saxon Warrior wasn’t exactly a shock winner of last year’s 2000 Guineas but it was thought that the big colt was a better fit for the Derby. His win shows that a certain amount of stamina is needed and that speed is not enough on its own to win the first Classic of the year. That could be a problem for the current 2000 Guineas favourite, Ten Sovereigns.
Far be it for anyone to second guess Aidan O’Brien’s decision making but Ten Sovereigns’ work as a two-year-old suggests that this huge horse is best suited to the big upcoming sprints and that a mile may be just too much for him against this calibre of opposition. He never went further than 6 furlongs as a juvenile and if the rain continues to fall the softer ground will likely damage his chances of winning.
If Ten Sovereigns does not manage to get the trip there is still a good chance that Aidan O’Brien will be celebrating as he trains the second favourite, Magna Grecia. His win in the Vertem Futurity Trophy was only narrow but it marked him out as a top class performer over a mile having already run well to finish second in the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket.
Magna Grecia doesn’t even have an entry to the Derby and many believe that 10 furlongs will be his ceiling. 1 mile should be the perfect distance for him at this stage so the 5/1 shot with Coral looks the one to beat.
As for an each way bet, consider the 8/1 that bet365 are quoting about Advertise’s chances. Martyn Meade’s colt is bred to be better over shorter distances but his second place in the Dewhurst suggests he has enough stamina to be a major player in the 2000 Guineas so 8/1 looks a generous price.
Recent Race Winners
- 2018 – Saxon Warrior – jockey Donnacha, trainer Aidan O’Brien
- 2017 – Churchill – jockey Ryan Moore, trainer Aidan O’Brien
- 2016 – Galileo Gold – jockey Frankie Dettori, trainer Hugo Palmer
- 2015 – Gleneagles – jockey Ryan Moore, trainer Aidan O’Brien
- 2014 – Night Of Thunder – jockey Kieren Fallon, trainer Richard Hannon, Jnr.
- 2013 – Dawn Approach – jockey Kevin Manning, trainer Jim Bolger
- 2012 – Camelot – jockey Joseph O’Brien, trainer Aidan O’Brien
- 2011 – Frankel – jockey Tom Queally, trainer Henry Cecil
- 2010 – Makfi – Christophe Lemaire, trainer Mikel Delzangles
- 2009 – Sea The Stars – jockey Michael Kinane, trainer John Oxx
- 2008 – Henrythenavigator – jockey Johnny Murtagh, trainer Aidan O’Brien
- 2007 – Cockney Rebel – jockey Olivier Peslier, trainer Geoff Huffer
- 2006 – George Washington – jockey Kieren Fallon, trainer Aidan O’Brien
2000 Guineas History
Following its inaugural running over 200 years ago, it didn’t take long for this race to become established as one of the top three year old contests of the season. Together with The Epsom Derby and Doncaster’s St Leger, the race now forms what is known as the British Triple Crown.
As one would expect of a classic contest, there have been many notable winners of this over the years. Some of the most significant being:
1853 hero West Australian, who was the first horse ever to win the aforementioned Triple Crown. 12 years later French superstar Gladiateur become the first foreign raider to achieve this feat.
1868 was a notable year in that it featured the first, and so far only dead heat in the history of the race. The remarkable filly Formosa not only split the prize here, but also won the 1000 Guineas, Oaks and St Leger.
Many smart performers had won this race prior to 1886, but this was possibly the first year that a real all-time great took the prize. Ormonde became the fourth horse to win the Triple Crown and was unbeaten in 16 career starts in all. He is generally rated as being the highest class racehorse of the 19th Century.
In 1902 a super filly by the name of Sceptre went slightly better than Formosa by winning this race outright, in addition to the 1000 Guineas, Oaks and St Leger. No other horse has won four British Classics since.
1970 saw the brilliant Nijinsky win here for Vincent O’Brien, before following up in the Derby and St Leger. As of 2015 he is the latest horse to achieve the Triple Crown. It would take a good horse to overshadow these achievements in 1971. Brigadier Gerard was certainly a good horse. A winner of 17 of his 18 career starts, he is universally accepted as being one of the greatest racehorses of all time.
Dancing Brave is another name to feature on many a list of all-time greats. Indeed on most ratings lists there is only one racehorse in history superior to Dancing Brave who also took the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe in his Guineas winning season of 1986.
The only horse to top Dancing Brave, on ratings at least, is of course the imperious Frankel. Henry Cecil’s wonder horse included a victory in this race in 2011 as part of his 14 race unbeaten career.
Aidan O’Brien sits out in front amongst the trainers, with a highly impressive nine wins in total after taking victory in 2015, 2017 and 2018.
Leading jockey in the race is one Jem Robinson. His nine victories in all included four in succession between the years of 1833 and 1836.
Also be sure to check out our 1000 Guineas offers and tips!